Blog - Prime Rogue Inc

Prime Rogue Inc

Prime Rogue Inc

Timeline: Environment Canada forecast the wind shift at 4:30 a.m.; in the Range 2 area, the escape window closed between about 3:18 and 3:23 p.m. on our model.

CFB Wainwright Explosion (October 17, 2026)Alberta Canadian Armed Forces Department of National Defence Event Reconstruction Open Source Intelligence (OSINT)Weather

What Happened to C Company: How a Forecast Wind Shift Trapped Soldiers at CFB Wainwright

What Happened to C Company: How a Forecast Wind Shift Trapped Soldiers at CFB Wainwright…

ByKevin J.S. Duska Jr.
OnOctober 22, 2026
9 Comments

Header graphic reading "How we found the 82 km/h gust: a step-by-step guide to reading Environment Canada's raw wind data," beside a bar chart of hourly wind at the CFB Wainwright weather station with the 82 km/h gust at 3:16 p.m. marked in gold.

CFB Wainwright Explosion (October 17, 2026)Alberta Canada Canadian Armed Forces Canadian Domestic Politics Department of National Defence Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC)Explainer Technical Report Weather Wind

How we found the 82 km/h CFB Wainwright gust: a step-by-step guide to Environment Canada’s wind data

How we found the CFB Wainwright 82 km/h gust: a step-by-step guide to Environment Canada’s…

ByKevin J.S. Duska Jr.
OnOctober 21, 2026
3 Comments

Headline graphic reading “Whose investigation is it?” Beside it are two overlapping circles, one labelled Federal (National Defence Act) and one labelled Provincial (Fatality Inquiries Act), with CFB Wainwright in the overlap.

CFB Wainwright Explosion (October 17, 2026)Alberta Canada Canadian Armed Forces Department of National Defence Office of the Chief Medical Examiner of Alberta Open Source Intelligence (OSINT)

CFB Wainwright Deaths: Alberta Says Its Medical Examiner’s Investigation is Separate from Military’s

CFB Wainwright deaths: Alberta says its medical examiner’s investigation is separate from the military’s Kevin…

ByKevin J.S. Duska Jr.
OnOctober 21, 2026
2 Comments

A satellite image of the burn scar at CFB Wainwright, with the fire before 3:16 p.m. outlined in yellow and the most likely area of the overrun outlined in teal, beside the title "Every warning was on the record."

CFB Wainwright Explosion (October 17, 2026)Alberta Canada Canadian Armed Forces Investigative Military Open Source Intelligence (OSINT)

Every Warning Was On The Record: The CFB Wainwright Deaths Were Highly Likely Preventable

Every Warning Was On The Record: The CFB Wainwright Deaths Were Highly Likely Preventable Kevin…

ByKevin J.S. Duska Jr.
OnOctober 21, 2026
8 Comments

Infographic listing nine access to information requests Prime Rogue Inc. filed with National Defence on the CFB Wainwright fire. It shows each request’s subject, request ID, filing date (October 18 or 20, 2026) and legal deadline (November 17 or 19, 2026). It also notes that most requests are expected to go to the Information Commissioner, and that releases will be published raw within 72 hours with checksummed, timestamped manifests. The full details are in the tracker on this page.

CFB Wainwright Explosion (October 17, 2026)Access to Information (Canada)Breaking News OSINT Analysis Canadian Armed Forces Department of National Defence Leaks Open Source Intelligence (OSINT)Privacy Act (Canada)

CFB Wainwright Fire: ATIP Request Tracker

CFB Wainwright Fire: ATIP Request Tracker Prime Rogue is tracking every Access to Information request…

ByKevin J.S. Duska Jr.
OnOctober 20, 2026
4 Comments

Title card reading "The flank became the front" beside a satellite map of CFB Wainwright, showing the burned area and an orange fire front advancing southeast with smoke ahead of it.

CFB Wainwright Explosion (October 17, 2026)Accidents Bureaucratic Suppression of Information Canada Canadian Armed Forces Department of National Defence Open Source Intelligence (OSINT)

CFB Wainwright Fire: The Flank Became The Front

CFB Wainwright: The Flank Became the Front New satellite imagery shows a 2-km fire line…

ByKevin J.S. Duska Jr.
OnOctober 19, 2026
9 Comments