Category Event Reconstruction

Rubicon Ridge: a new reconstruction moves the CFB Wainwright fire’s timeline 12 minutes later

Satellite view of the burned ground at CFB Wainwright with the headline “The front hit the fire at 3:28, not 3:16”

Rubicon Ridge: a new reconstruction moves the CFB Wainwright fire’s timeline 12 minutes later Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. | Prime Rogue Inc. | Calgary, AB | November 6, 2026 Weather stations around the base put the wind shift over the…

Exclusive: CFB Wainwright Satellite Images Show The CFB Wainwright Pairs Range After The Fire

CFB Wainwright fire satellite image, Oct. 20, 2026: the dark Oct. 17 burn across the training area, its edge at the Range 2 and Range 15 junction, and green farmland beyond the base boundary road

Exclusive: CFB Wainwright Satellite Satellite Images Show The CFB Wainwright Pairs Range After The Fire New 70 cm satellite images, taken three days after the Oct. 17 fire, show what burned around the likely pairs range, where the fire was…

CFB Wainwright: DND said ‘just before 4:00.’ The weather station said 3:16.

Monitored for hours, beyond control in minutes: working model v4 over Sentinel-2 imagery of the CFB Wainwright burn scar.

CFB Wainwright: DND said ‘just before 4:00.’ The weather station said 3:16. Kevin Duska Jr., | Prime Rogue Inc. | Oct. 26, 2026 | Working model v4 Environment Canada’s weather station at CFB Wainwright recorded the peak gust of the…

The Noon Photograph: What Landsat Shows About Where The CFB Wainwright Fire Started, and The Gas Lines It Crossed

Seven tests of the gas claim at CFB Wainwright: five point away from gas, one can't tell, and the regulatory record is open.

The Noon Photograph: What Landsat Shows About Where The CFB Wainwright Fire Started, and The Gas Lines It Crossed Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. · Prime Rogue Inc. · Calgary, AB · Oct. 24, 2026 Working model v3 At 12:17 p.m.…

Another sign pointing away from gas: what satellites and the regulator show about CFB Wainwright’s gas lines

"Forecast at 4:30 a.m., out of time by 3:23 p.m.: CFB Wainwright fire timeline","Timeline: Environment Canada forecast the wind shift at 4:30 a.m.; in the Range 2 area, the escape window closed between about 3:18 and 3:23 p.m. on our model.","Environment Canada forecast the wind shift 11 hours ahead. On our model, troops in the Range 2 area had about two to seven minutes to get out. Graphic: Kevin Duska Jr. (Prime Rogue Inc.), CC BY-NC 4.0.","Timeline of Oct. 17, 2026 at CFB Wainwright: 4:30 a.m. forecast of west winds gusting to 80 km/h; 12:17 p.m. Landsat detection; Extreme fire danger; 2:49 p.m. fire moving away from Range 2; 3:16 p.m. 82 km/h gust; modelled escape window closing 3:18-3:23 p.m.; fire reaching Range 2 about 3:21 p.m. Sources: ECCC, NRCan CWFIS, NASA FIRMS, NOAA GOES-18.",CFB Wainwright fire; CFB Wainwright; C Company; 3rd Battalion PPCLI; Canadian Armed Forces; Department of National Defence; Alberta wildfire; OSINT; Authentic Stoic Stress Test; Prime Rogue; wind shift; forecast; timeline; escape window

Another sign pointing away from gas: what satellites and the regulator show about CFB Wainwright’s gas lines Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. · Prime Rogue · Calgary, AB · Oct. 24, 2026 CFB Wainwright Working model v2.1 The night of the…

What Happened to C Company: How a Forecast Wind Shift Trapped Soldiers at CFB Wainwright

Timeline: Environment Canada forecast the wind shift at 4:30 a.m.; in the Range 2 area, the escape window closed between about 3:18 and 3:23 p.m. on our model.

What Happened to C Company: How a Forecast Wind Shift Trapped Soldiers at CFB Wainwright Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. & Margot Lanihin | Prime Rogue Inc | Calgary, AB | October 22, 2026 Six public tests of our analysis, one…

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