Category Domestic Politics

What Happened to C Company: How a Forecast Wind Shift Trapped Soldiers at CFB Wainwright

Timeline: Environment Canada forecast the wind shift at 4:30 a.m.; in the Range 2 area, the escape window closed between about 3:18 and 3:23 p.m. on our model.

What Happened to C Company: How a Forecast Wind Shift Trapped Soldiers at CFB Wainwright Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. & Margot Lanihin | Prime Rogue Inc | Calgary, AB | October 22, 2026 Six public tests of our analysis, one…

How we found the 82 km/h CFB Wainwright gust: a step-by-step guide to Environment Canada’s wind data

Header graphic reading "How we found the 82 km/h gust: a step-by-step guide to reading Environment Canada's raw wind data," beside a bar chart of hourly wind at the CFB Wainwright weather station with the 82 km/h gust at 3:16 p.m. marked in gold.

How we found the CFB Wainwright 82 km/h gust: a step-by-step guide to Environment Canada’s wind data Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. | Prime Rogue Inc | Calgary, AB | October 21, 2026 The strongest wind recorded near the CFB Wainwright…

CFB Wainwright Deaths: Alberta Says Its Medical Examiner’s Investigation is Separate from Military’s

Headline graphic reading “Whose investigation is it?” Beside it are two overlapping circles, one labelled Federal (National Defence Act) and one labelled Provincial (Fatality Inquiries Act), with CFB Wainwright in the overlap.

CFB Wainwright deaths: Alberta says its medical examiner’s investigation is separate from the military’s Kevin Duska | Prime Rogue Inc | Calgary, AB | Oct 21, 2026 Update, Oct. 21, 2026: This story has been updated with a provincial official’s…

CFB Wainwright Fire: ATIP Request Tracker

Infographic listing nine access to information requests Prime Rogue Inc. filed with National Defence on the CFB Wainwright fire. It shows each request’s subject, request ID, filing date (October 18 or 20, 2026) and legal deadline (November 17 or 19, 2026). It also notes that most requests are expected to go to the Information Commissioner, and that releases will be published raw within 72 hours with checksummed, timestamped manifests. The full details are in the tracker on this page.

CFB Wainwright Fire: ATIP Request Tracker Prime Rogue is tracking every Access to Information request filed in connection with the deadly October 17, 2026 fire in the CFB Wainwright training area. This page is updated as requests are acknowledged, extended,…

Gas wells played no part in the CFB Wainwright fire, records show

Satellite map of the CFB Wainwright fire area showing yellow fire detections and a red dashed burned area between two lakes, with red diamonds marking producing gas wells around it, under the headline "The fire and the gas wells."

Gas wells played no part in the CFB Wainwright fire, records show No well lies inside the area that burned on Oct. 17 at CFB Wainwright, and the provincial regulator says no operator has reported an incident. The well records…

The storm line, then the fire: every satellite record of the CFB Wainwright fire, on one map

Map of the CFB Wainwright training area on a Sentinel-2 image from Oct. 4, with yellow Landsat 8 detections at 12:17 p.m., blue NOAA-20 pixels at 2:49 p.m., a large slanted GOES-18 pixel outline at 3:30 p.m., wind arrows turning from southwest to northwest, and a red burned area running southeast from the detections.

The storm line, then the fire: every satellite record of the CFB Wainwright fire, on one map NOAA’s weather satellite shows a line of storms crossing the training area minutes before an 82 km/h gust, and the fire flaring right…

Every Warning Light Was On: What Most Likely Happened at CFB Wainwright

Header graphic: National Defence said the fire "ignited" at 4 p.m.; records show fire at 12:17 and 2:49 p.m., a 2:14 p.m. wind warning and an Extreme fire-danger rating.

Every Warning Light Was On: What Most Likely Happened at CFB Wainwright A fire burning since midday. An Extreme federal fire-danger rating. A wind warning naming Wainwright almost two hours before 4 p.m. Prime Rogue’s reconstruction of the Oct. 17…

A week of satellite data on the CFB Wainwright fire: burning by 2:49 p.m., likely since morning

Prime Rogue full analysis header reading A week of satellite data on the Wainwright fire. Every NASA detection near CFB Wainwright, Oct. 12 to 18: what it shows, what it can't, and what the military has said. A Sentinel-2 satellite image of the training area shows a saline lake with NASA fire detections plotted on it: yellow Landsat 8 detections and blue NOAA-20 squares from Oct. 17 north of the lake, a white NOAA-21 square from Oct. 14 on the lake's west shore, and orange squares from Oct. 18 to the southeast. Every NASA fire detection near CFB Wainwright from Oct. 12 to 18, on a Sentinel-2 image of the training area taken Oct. 4. (Imagery: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data. Fire data: NASA FIRMS. Graphic: Prime Rogue Inc.)

A week of satellite data on the Wainwright fire: burning by 2:49 p.m., likely since morning By Kevin J.S. Duska Jr., Prime Rogue Inc. | CalgaryPublished 00:00 MT, Monday, Oct. 19, 2026. This analysis brings together and updates Prime Rogue’s…

DND said the Wainwright fire “ignited” at 4 p.m. The military now says it was known for hours

Analysis header reading “Ignited” at 4 p.m. vs. known for hours: National Defence’s account vs. the military’s own. Two quote cards compare DND’s overnight Oct. 18 news release, which says at approximately 4:00 p.m. “a fire ignited within the training area,” with the Sunday military briefing, where Range Control “was aware there was a fire for several hours and were monitoring it.”

DND said the Wainwright fire “ignited” at 4 p.m. The military now says it was known for hours Published 2050 MT, Sunday, Oct. 18, 2026. By Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. | Prime Rogue Inc | Calgary, AB This follows Prime…

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