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Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis Executive Summary In July 2025, a long-simmering border dispute between Cambodia and Thailand erupted into the most intense clashes in over a decade, threatening regional stability. What…
The “Gulf of America” Gambit – Moronic Genius at Sea Executive Summary Renaming by Decree On January 20, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump signed Executive Order 14172, “Restoring Names That Honor American Greatness,” directing that the Gulf of Mexico be…
Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse – Fractured States Series — Vol. II Introduction — Ethiopia as a Paradigmatic Fractured State Ethiopia exemplifies the archetype of a “fractured state” –…
Strategic Analysis: U.S. Aircraft Carrier Deployment Toward Iran – Implications and Risks Introduction: The U.S. Military’s Strategic Shift in the Middle East The recent deployment of three U.S. aircraft carrier strike groups—USS Carl Vinson, USS Dwight D. Eisenhower, and USS…
Al-Shabaab’s Attack on Somali President: U.S. Airstrikes, Regional Power Struggles & Somalia’s Security Crisis Executive Summary On March 18, 2025, Al-Shabaab targeted the convoy of Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in Mogadishu, marking a bold attempt to undermine the government’s…
U.S. Airstrikes in Somalia Under Trump’s Second Term: Strategy, Impact, and Consequences 1. Introduction Since Donald Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, U.S. military operations in Somalia have escalated sharply. Within just the first few months of…
What Would Happen if the U.S. Targeted Iran’s Spy Ship Behshad?Introduction: Could the U.S. Strike Iran’s Spy Ship Behshad? The waters of the Red Sea have become a battleground of covert operations, proxy warfare, and escalating maritime threats. At the…
Did the Houthis Hit the USS Harry S. Truman? Assessing the Claim and Its Geopolitical FalloutI. Introduction In the early hours of March 16, 2025, unconfirmed reports began circulating online suggesting that the USS Harry S. Truman, a Nimitz-class aircraft…
Dassault Rafale vs. F-35, Eurofighter vs. F-35: Can Europe Break Free from U.S. Airpower? Introduction: Europe’s Fighter Jet Conundrum European air forces are at a crossroads. For the past two decades, the Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II has positioned itself…
What Would Happen if Trump Pulled the US from NATO? Introduction: The Unthinkable Becomes Reality For decades, NATO has been the foundation of Western security, binding North America and Europe in a shared defense pact that deterred Russian aggression and…