Category Geopolitics

Was the Kamchatka Earthquake Just the Beginning? Aftershocks, Foreshocks, and the Real 2025 Tsunami Threat

an image depicting the tsunami alert put forth for the July 29, 2025 tsunami off the coast of Russia

Was the Kamchatka Earthquake Just the Beginning? Aftershocks, Foreshocks, and the Real 2025 Tsunami Threat Introduction: A Quake Felt Across the Pacific On July 29, 2025, at approximately 17:46 local time, a magnitude 8.7 earthquake struck off the eastern coast…

Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis

an image depicting cambodia and thailand having a flashpoint at the frontier

Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis Executive Summary In July 2025, a long-simmering border dispute between Cambodia and Thailand erupted into the most intense clashes in over a decade, threatening regional stability. What…

Terminal Altitude: Why Ukraine’s Fighter Fleet Will Collapse Without Immediate U.S. Reengagement

Terminal Altitude: Why Ukraine’s Fighter Fleet Will Collapse Without Immediate U.S. Reengagement1. Executive Summary On April 12, 2025, Captain Pavlo Ivanov, a 26-year-old Ukrainian Air Force pilot, was killed while flying a U.S.-donated F-16 on a combat mission. He was…

The Deep End: Trump, the Great Lakes, and Canada’s Invisible Sovereignty Crisis

an image depictingThe Deep End: Trump, the Great Lakes, and Canada’s Invisible Sovereignty Crisis

The Deep End: Trump, the Great Lakes, and Canada’s Invisible Sovereignty Crisis I. Introduction – ā€œThe Border Beneath the Surfaceā€ In the dying days of his first term, Donald Trump floated the idea of buying Greenland. It was absurd—until it…

The Empire That Forgot It Was One: JD Vance, Greenland, and the Death of the Rules-Based Order

an image depicting The Empire That Forgot It Was One: JD Vance, Greenland, and the Death of the Rules-Based Order

The Empire That Forgot It Was One: JD Vance, Greenland, and the Death of the Rules-Based Order I. INTRODUCTION: THE EMPIRE IS NO LONGER SUBTLE This isn’t a drill. This isn’t a weird headline you laugh at and scroll past…

ISR: The Eyes of a Dying Empire: How America Watched the World Burn—One Thermal Feed at a Time

an image depicting ISR: The Eyes of a Dying Empire: How America Watched the World Burn—One Thermal Feed at a Time

ISR: The Eyes of a Dying Empire: How America Watched the World Burn—One Thermal Feed at a Time I. Prologue: The Empire That Watched Itself Die A drone orbits over a parched village outside Kismayo.The feed is clean.The horizon shimmers…

The Trump Doctrine: Isolationism, Dominance, and the Death of Partnership

an image depicting The Trump Doctrine: Isolationism, Dominance, and the Death of Partnership

The Trump Doctrine: Isolationism, Dominance, and the Death of Partnership 1. Executive Summary The so-called ā€œTrump Doctrineā€ has often been mischaracterized as incoherent, improvisational, or purely reactive. In reality, it is one of the most brutally consistent strategic frameworks to…

Trump’s Fentanyl WMD Order: Economic Warfare, Law Enforcement Overreach, and North American Sovereignty at Risk

an image depicting Trump's Fentanyl WMD Order

Trump’s Fentanyl WMD Order: Economic Warfare, Law Enforcement Overreach, and North American Sovereignty at Risk 1. Executive Summary The United States and Canada are already locked in an escalating trade war, with Trump imposing heavy tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum,…