Category Conflict

Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis

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Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis Executive Summary In July 2025, a long-simmering border dispute between Cambodia and Thailand erupted into the most intense clashes in over a decade, threatening regional stability. What…

Operation Sindoor: India’s First Missile War? A Strategic Autopsy of the Pahalgam Retaliation

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Operation Sindoor: India’s First Missile War? A Strategic Autopsy of the Pahalgam Retaliation Introduction: A Missile Shatters the Silence at Midnight In the early hours of May 7, 2025, thunderous explosions shattered the Himalayan silence around Muzaffarabad. Minutes later, a…

Top 10 Technological Asymmetric Warfare Shocks That Shattered Military Confidence (From Naval Drone Kills to Stealth Collapses — When the System Was the Vulnerability)

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Top 10 Technological Asymmetric Warfare Shocks That Shattered Military Confidence (From Naval Drone Kills to Stealth Collapses — When the System Was the Vulnerability) Introduction The mythology of military superiority is rarely undone by brute force. It collapses when confidence…

Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse – Fractured States Series — Vol. II

An image depicting Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse - Fractured States Series — Vol. II

Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse – Fractured States Series — Vol. II Introduction — Ethiopia as a Paradigmatic Fractured State Ethiopia exemplifies the archetype of a “fractured state” –…

The Nation as Martyr: Serbia’s Victimhood Narrative and the Fracturing of State Identity Fractured States Series — Vol. I

An image depicting The Nation as Martyr: Serbia’s Victimhood Narrative and the Fracturing of State Identity Fractured States Series — Vol. I

The Nation as Martyr: Serbia’s Victimhood Narrative and the Fracturing of State Identity Fractured States Series — Vol. I Fractured States – Series Introduction This intelligence brief is the first installment in Fractured States, Prime Rogue Inc.’s new geopolitical series…

The Border Is Closed: Why the Haskell Library Shutdown Is a Soft Declaration of War Against Canada

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The Border Is Closed: Why the Haskell Library Shutdown Is a Soft Declaration of War Against Canada Executive Summary The closure of Canadian access to the Haskell Free Library and Opera House is not an isolated bureaucratic adjustment—it is a…

Trump’s 200% Tariff on European Wine & The Expanding U.S.-EU Trade War

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Trump’s 200% Tariff on European Wine & The Expanding U.S.-EU Trade War 1. Executive Summary On March 13, 2025, President Donald Trump escalated the U.S.-EU trade war by announcing a 200% tariff on European wines, champagnes, and spirits. The move…