Category Conflicts

Would Donald Trump Strike Iran During the State of the Union – With Markets Opening the Next Morning?

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Would a US President Strike Iran During the State of the Union on a Weekday? By Kevin J.S. Duska Jr. | February 24, 2026 TL;DR The open-source indicators surrounding tonight’s State of the Union — a dedicated 42-aircraft SEAD package,…

Strategic Briefing: U.S. Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Sites – Immediate and Mid-Term Impact

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Strategic Briefing: U.S. Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Sites – Immediate and Mid-Term ImpactExecutive Summary In a dramatic escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, U.S. forces conducted airstrikes early Sunday on Iran’s key nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Former President…

Flashpoint Hormuz: Risk Assessment and Strategic Forecast Amid U.S.-Iran-Israel Conflict

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Flashpoint Hormuz: Risk Assessment and Strategic Forecast Amid U.S.-Iran-Israel Conflict Executive Summary Increasingly Intense hostilities between Israel and Iran since June 13, 2025 have raised the specter of Iran attempting to close or disrupt the Strait of Hormuz within the next…

Geopolitical Contagion and Strategic Disruption — Israel–Iran Escalation’s Impact on the 2025 G7 Summit in Kananaskis – Geopolitical Disruption Bonus #1

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Geopolitical Contagion and Strategic Disruption — Israel–Iran Escalation’s Impact on the 2025 G7 Summit in Kananaskis – Geopolitical Disruption Bonus #1 Executive Summary (Tiered Risk Flags) Security Posture Escalation: Fortifying Kananaskis under High Alert Canada has dramatically bolstered its summit…

Israel’s Threat to Global Stability – Nuclear Theocracy, Impunity & Propaganda Exposed

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Israel’s Threat to Global Stability – Nuclear Theocracy, Impunity & Propaganda ExposedExecutive Summary Israel’s geopolitical role is often framed as that of a small nation fighting for survival in a hostile region. But a closer examination reveals a far more…

Brinkmanship in Vermilion: Modi’s Escalation of the India-Pakistan Conflict

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Brinkmanship in Vermilion: Modi’s Escalation of the India-Pakistan Conflict Latest Developments Night of Strikes and Sirens In the dead of night, the conflict that had been brewing for weeks erupted into bright plumes of fire on the horizon. Air-raid sirens…

Authoritarian Populism: The Modi Variable in the May 2025 India-Pakistan Crisis

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Authoritarian Populism: The Modi Variable in the May 2025 India-Pakistan Crisis 1. Executive Summary The May 7, 2025 Indian strike on Pakistan, named Operation Sindoor, launched under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership, marked a dramatic escalation in South Asia’s most…

Operation Sindoor: India’s First Missile War? A Strategic Autopsy of the Pahalgam Retaliation

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Operation Sindoor: India’s First Missile War? A Strategic Autopsy of the Pahalgam Retaliation Introduction: A Missile Shatters the Silence at Midnight In the early hours of May 7, 2025, thunderous explosions shattered the Himalayan silence around Muzaffarabad. Minutes later, a…

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