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Terminal Altitude: Why Ukraineās Fighter Fleet Will Collapse Without Immediate U.S. Reengagement1. Executive Summary On April 12, 2025, Captain Pavlo Ivanov, a 26-year-old Ukrainian Air Force pilot, was killed while flying a U.S.-donated F-16 on a combat mission. He wasā¦
Trump-Putin Ceasefire Deal Unravels: Russia Strikes Ukraine Hours After Phone Call Executive Summary: Trump-Putin Call, Ceasefire Agreement, and Immediate Russian Strikes On March 18, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin held a high-level phone call toā¦
Intel Brief: Will the U.S. Attack Iran? Conflict Forecast (March 16-30, 2025) Executive Summary Tensions between the United States and Iran have reached a critical point following a series of military escalations and diplomatic breakdowns. Over the past month, theā¦
Would NATO Defend Canada Against a U.S. Attack? A Geopolitical Reality Check I. Introduction ā Setting the Stage For most of modern history, the idea of a U.S. invasion of Canada has been the stuff of war games, counterfactual novels,ā¦
Rheinmetall Eyes Volkswagenās OsnabrĆ¼ck Factory for Military Production as Trump Threatens NATO and Canada Introduction: The Weaponization of Industry in a Fracturing World The world is shifting into an era where economic power and military strength are no longer separateā¦
Analysis: France Pushes to Seize $400 Billion in Russian Assets as U.S. Retrenchment Threatens NATO and Canada 1. Introduction: The $400 Billion Gambit and the Cracks in the West The French National Assembly just set off a geopolitical earthquake. Byā¦
The Next NATO-Russia Flashpoints: Why Conflict Could Erupt in the Suwalki Gap After a Ukraine Peace Agreement Introduction: A Fragile Peace with Dangerous Undercurrents The prospect of a peace agreement in Ukraine offers a moment of respite but does notā¦
Infrastructure Warfare: Vulnerabilities and Protection Introduction The January 2025 drone strike on Russia’s Ryazan Oil Refinery demonstrates how modern precision attacks against infrastructure targets can create economic effects far beyond physical damage. This new era of infrastructure warfare transforms notā¦
Ryazan Oil Refinery Attack: OSINT Analysis Introduction In the early hours of January 23, 2025, multiple Ukrainian drones reportedly struck the Ryazan Oil Refinery, located approximately 190 kilometers southeast of Moscow. The attack, which resulted in significant fires and explosionsā¦
NATO at a Crossroads: Danish F-16 Instructor’s Death in Russian Strike – Complete Strategic Analysis EDITOR’S NOTE: This article has been withdrawn and is not factual. We are keeping it online as it demonstrates how even the most rigorous real-timeā¦
