Category Interstate War

Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis

an image depicting cambodia and thailand having a flashpoint at the frontier

Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis Executive Summary In July 2025, a long-simmering border dispute between Cambodia and Thailand erupted into the most intense clashes in over a decade, threatening regional stability. What…