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Flashpoint at the Frontier: Probabilistic Risk Modeling of the 2025 Cambodia–Thailand Border Crisis Executive Summary In July 2025, a long-simmering border dispute between Cambodia and Thailand erupted into the most intense clashes in over a decade, threatening regional stability. What…
EU’s 72-Hour Kits Signal Collapse of Western Security 1. The 72-Hour Lie The European Union has advised its citizens to prepare a 72-hour emergency survival kit. Food. Water. Flashlights. First aid. Sounds responsible — even boring. The public framing is…
B-2 Bombers at Diego Garcia: U.S. Escalates Toward War with Iran Amid Houthi Conflict and Israeli Strikes Executive Summary The sudden deployment of seven B-2 Spirit stealth bombers and seven C-17A Globemaster IIIs to Diego Garcia, a remote U.S. military…
Intel Brief: Will the U.S. Attack Iran? Conflict Forecast (March 16-30, 2025) Executive Summary Tensions between the United States and Iran have reached a critical point following a series of military escalations and diplomatic breakdowns. Over the past month, the…
Forecasting War: Insights for the Next Decade In a world characterized by rapid technological advancements and shifting geopolitical landscapes, the specter of war looms ominously. As global powers vie for dominance and regions face mounting tensions, the question arises: what…