Category Conflict Flashpoints

Operation Sindoor: India’s First Missile War? A Strategic Autopsy of the Pahalgam Retaliation

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Operation Sindoor: India’s First Missile War? A Strategic Autopsy of the Pahalgam Retaliation Introduction: A Missile Shatters the Silence at Midnight In the early hours of May 7, 2025, thunderous explosions shattered the Himalayan silence around Muzaffarabad. Minutes later, a…

Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse – Fractured States Series — Vol. II

An image depicting Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse - Fractured States Series — Vol. II

Ethiopia: Anatomy of a Fractured State — Ethnic Federalism, Civil War, and the Risk of Collapse – Fractured States Series — Vol. II Introduction — Ethiopia as a Paradigmatic Fractured State Ethiopia exemplifies the archetype of a “fractured state” –…

Fractured States: Why Identity-Driven Countries Are the World’s Hidden Conflict Zones

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Fractured States: Why Identity-Driven Countries Are the World’s Hidden Conflict Zones Introduction: What Are Fractured States? Some countries don’t fail because they are poor, corrupt, or badly governed.They fail because they are broken at the identity level. Across the world,…

The Nation as Martyr: Serbia’s Victimhood Narrative and the Fracturing of State Identity Fractured States Series — Vol. I

An image depicting The Nation as Martyr: Serbia’s Victimhood Narrative and the Fracturing of State Identity Fractured States Series — Vol. I

The Nation as Martyr: Serbia’s Victimhood Narrative and the Fracturing of State Identity Fractured States Series — Vol. I Fractured States – Series Introduction This intelligence brief is the first installment in Fractured States, Prime Rogue Inc.’s new geopolitical series…

The Next NATO-Russia Flashpoints: Why Conflict Could Erupt in the Suwalki Gap After a Ukraine Peace Agreement

A stylized image illustrating The Next NATO-Russia Flashpoints: Where Conflict Could Erupt After a Ukraine Peace Agreement

The Next NATO-Russia Flashpoints: Why Conflict Could Erupt in the Suwalki Gap After a Ukraine Peace Agreement Introduction: A Fragile Peace with Dangerous Undercurrents The prospect of a peace agreement in Ukraine offers a moment of respite but does not…